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March 7, 2023

How Math Affects Gambling Results at New Casino Sites

Ethan Williams
Written byEthan WilliamsWriter
Researched bySamuel AdeoyeResearcher

Gambling is an ancient pastime that has been around for centuries. But with time, gambling has become a profession for some players. Although modern casino players might beg to differ, gambling outcomes have long been associated with luck. Games such as poker, blackjack, roulette, and even slots require a deep understanding of gambling mathematics. So, this blog post will explore the mathematics behind gambling and how it affects the overall gameplay. 

How Math Affects Gambling Results at New Casino Sites

Understanding Probability and Odds in Gambling

One of the most important aspects of gambling is understanding the probability and odds of outcomes. Probability is the likelihood that a particular gambling outcome will occur. It is usually expressed as a percentage, with 100% meaning certain and 0% meaning impossible. On the other hand, odds are expressed as ratios.

For example, if a coin flip has half a chance of landing heads, the probability is 50%. This means that the odds or EV (expected value) of the coin flip landing heads are 1:1. This is called an even-money payout at the best new online casinos, where a $1 bet will return a similar amount. Note that the odds of the coin flip landing tails are also 1:1.

Consider casino bets such as red/black and odd/even in online roulette.

  • The probability of the roulette ball stopping on a red/black or odd/even number on the European wheel is 48.60% and 47.40% on the American version. 
  • This slight difference is because of the additional 00 pockets in the American wheel. Either way, these bets pay at 1:1 on both wheels. 
  • The probability of hitting a specific number on the European and American wheels is pretty low, at 2.70% and 2.60%, respectively.

Mathematics Behind the House Edge

The house edge is a necessary evil that players must live with, whether playing slots, table games, or live casino games. It's typically portrayed in percentages and represents the cut the casino will take from every player's wager. In slot machines, the house edge is calculated by subtracting the RTP (return to player) from 100%. That's a simple math lesson there!

Now consider this: the house edge of the European Roulette game is 2.70% as opposed to 5.26% in the American game. As expected, the American version has a higher rate because of the additional 00 pockets. This means the chances of players predicting the correct number is 1 in 37 in the European game and 1 in 38 in the American version. 

Don't stop there! Use the house edge to calculate the average hourly losses. 

  • Assume that a gamer is playing 500 rounds on both wheels for $10 per round. This means the average hourly loss per hour for European roulette is $135 (2.70% x 500 rounds x $10). 
  • In the American version, the anticipated loss per hour is $263.

Players can use this math to create the ideal gambling budget. 

Blackjack and Poker Strategy Cards

There's no better place to explain the concept of gambling mathematics than on a poker or blackjack table. Although these online casino games can be intimidating initially, they are widely considered the best. Players can use a well-thought-out strategy to reduce the house edge to favorable rates. The house edge can even be a negative value in Double Bonus Poker and Double Double Bonus Poker. 

In blackjack, players can apply math in situations like splitting a hand with two Aces to have two strong starting hands. Blackjack players can also double down if they have a hard 9 and the croupier's face-up card is 2-6. Of course, standing on anything 17 and above is a no-brainer if the dealer has a 10-value card. 

Like blackjack, poker also has many decisions that involve pure math. Imagine getting a 2-7 offsuit starting hand in Texas Hold 'em. This combination means the player is less likely to create a strong hand even if they wind up with a pair of 2s or 7s. Folding is the best logical and mathematical decision in such a situation. There are hundreds of such conditions in poker. 

Exploring Betting Systems Suitable for New Casino Play

Another situation where math comes into play in gambling is with betting systems. Players can use various betting systems to limit their losses at the casino. A popular example is the Martingale system used by many players in blackjack and roulette. The system advises bettors to double their bets after a loss to recoup losses with a single win. 

While this system can be profitable in the short run, it's not recommended in the long run because it increases the chances of busting the budget. If the player loses multiple times in a row, they will eventually win and recoup their losses. But the chances of losing multiple times are higher than the chances of winning, thanks to the house edge. So, this system is recommended chiefly in even-money bets. 

The Fibonacci system is another popular betting strategy among many gamblers. This system is based on the Fibonacci mathematical sequence with numbers 0-1-1-2-3-5-8-13-21-34-55-89 and more. Interestingly, it's a relatively straightforward betting system, as the bettor only needs to replace the numbers with their betting stake. Note that players move to the next number after a loss. 

Money Management and Gambling at New Casinos

In gambling, players who don't practice money management set themselves up for a hard fall. Money management is simply the art of betting using an amount a player is comfortable losing. So, if a player has a weekly salary of $3,000, they can be comfortable gambling away $400 or $500. 

But that's not the only math in gambling money management. If a player has $500 to gamble with over the weekend, this means $250 daily. As easy as this math sounds, most players don't realize it. In addition to the daily budget, players may need a stop-loss limit. This can be 50%, 70%, and more. So, it might be time to call it quits after losing 50% of the daily unit. 

It's also important to note that bankroll management gives players the perfect ground to use their favorite betting system. That's because no specific betting system reduces the house edge even by a single percentage. So, use them as a more comprehensive bankroll management plan. 

Does Math Really Matter in Gambling?

This article has discussed some possible situations that involve gambling mathematics. But does math really matter to most gamblers at new online casinos? The thing is that most players simply don't care how math works in gambling. They'll just fire up the game and have as much entertainment as possible.  After all, players don't need math to trigger the legendary Mega Moolah jackpot by Microgaming.

But for poker and blackjack players, math is an essential part of the game if they are to win more often. Remember that it's only through shrewd calculations that these players can reduce the house edge and increase their expected value. Math will also be handy when playing games with multiple bets, like craps and roulette. 

All in all, thinking about gambling odds and probabilities makes a lot of sense. This way, the player can learn the best video poker and blackjack strategies or slot machines with the best odds. But it's always more about luck than math.

About the author
Ethan Williams
Ethan Williams
About

Ethan Williams, a lively 24-year-old lad from the UK, brilliantly fuses his passion for online casinos with top-notch English localisation, creating bespoke casino guides for Britain's keen gaming lot.

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